Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000765 0.000819 0.000876 0.000940 0.001011 0.001087 0.001175
2026-01-11 0.000679 0.000752 0.000832 0.000928 0.001039 0.001164 0.001319
2026-01-18 0.000625 0.000709 0.000805 0.000923 0.001065 0.001234 0.001451
2026-01-25 0.000668 0.000778 0.000908 0.001074 0.001285 0.001547 0.001906
2026-02-01 0.000613 0.000724 0.000858 0.001035 0.001264 0.001559 0.001976
2026-02-08 0.000571 0.000683 0.000821 0.001006 0.001253 0.001579 0.002056
2026-02-15 0.000541 0.000656 0.000799 0.000994 0.001261 0.001623 0.002169
2026-02-22 0.000510 0.000624 0.000769 0.000970 0.001249 0.001637 0.002241
2026-03-01 0.000478 0.000590 0.000733 0.000934 0.001220 0.001624 0.002268
2026-03-08 0.000458 0.000570 0.000715 0.000922 0.001222 0.001654 0.002363
2026-03-15 0.000438 0.000549 0.000694 0.000906 0.001215 0.001671 0.002437
2026-03-22 0.000408 0.000514 0.000654 0.000858 0.001161 0.001612 0.002381
2026-03-29 0.000383 0.000486 0.000624 0.000828 0.001135 0.001603 0.002422
2026-04-05 0.000366 0.000469 0.000608 0.000817 0.001138 0.001640 0.002547
2026-04-12 0.000353 0.000456 0.000597 0.000813 0.001151 0.001692 0.002706
2026-04-19 0.000380 0.000500 0.000670 0.000940 0.001381 0.002130 0.003651
2026-04-26 0.000359 0.000476 0.000641 0.000907 0.001348 0.002109 0.003695
2026-05-03 0.000342 0.000456 0.000619 0.000883 0.001328 0.002111 0.003785
2026-05-10 0.000330 0.000443 0.000606 0.000873 0.001330 0.002152 0.003966
2026-05-17 0.000316 0.000426 0.000587 0.000852 0.001313 0.002155 0.004064
2026-05-24 0.000301 0.000407 0.000563 0.000823 0.001278 0.002121 0.004070
2026-05-31 0.000291 0.000396 0.000551 0.000813 0.001277 0.002153 0.004237
2026-06-07 0.000281 0.000384 0.000538 0.000799 0.001267 0.002167 0.004362